According to a June Gallup poll, “forty-four percent of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for “the Republican Party’s candidate” and 39% for Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election.”
Here’s the handy-dandy little graphic that accompanied the lovely poll:

Seriously. How much does it SUCK to be the guy who’s losing a contest that hasn’t even started yet to a person that doesn’t exist?
Just sayin.