The midterm elections are just two weeks away. I have no idea what will happen. Best case scenario? Republicans keep the House and increase their majority in the Senate. If Republicans stay fired up and show up to the polls in spectacular fashion, that could happen. However, a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll suggests that Democrats are favored to take the House.
Fueled by increased enthusiasm from women, Latinos and young voters for the upcoming midterm election, Democrats hold a 9-point lead among likely voters over Republicans in congressional preference, according to the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
Here’s a better breakdown:
In the poll, 50 percent of likely voters prefer Democrat to control Congress after the November elections, versus 41 percent who want Republicans to stay in charge — up 1 point from Democrats’ lead in the September NBC/WSJ survey.
You’ll notice that this poll doesn’t necessarily reflect individual congressional races. It’s literally just asking people, “Hey. You want Dems controlling the House or nah?” So is it REALLY accurate? That’s the question we need to ask ourselves.
Also important to note:
Among the wider pool of registered voters, however, the Democratic advantage is 7 points, 48 percent to 41 percent, which is down from their 12-point edge in September.
Interestingly enough, this also showed Trump having the “highest job rating yet as president” in this particular poll, which is interesting. You’d think if people saw him doing a good job, they’d want REPUBLICANS running Congress so he could continue to try to get stuff done with greater ease.
We’ll see what happens…
h/t NBC